Match

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BFC Preussen: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 7Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt

FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtBFC Preussen

The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for BFC Preussen. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BFC Preussen?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (2,009 vs 1,853).

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win62 %
Draw20 %
BFC Preussen win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; BFC Preussen have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Magdeburg II(home)4-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026Tasmania Berlin(home)6-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026Hallescher FC(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 24, 2026BFC Dynamo(home)4-1Regionalliga - Nordost
BFC Preussen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Greifswalder FC(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026Chemnitzer FC(away)0-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026RSV Eintracht(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 BFC Preussen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0-1 BFC PreussenRegionalliga - Nordost
Sep 13, 2025BFC Preussen 2-4 FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BFC Preussen on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Preussen score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2.41.249/1510/15
BFC Preussen1.61.719/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nordost (13 points from 5 matches) and BFC Preussen sit 17th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt541017413
17BFC Preussen5023492

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BFC Preussen?
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for BFC Preussen.
Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BFC Preussen played?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BFC Preussen is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt and BFC Preussen

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