FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BFC Preussen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 7Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for BFC Preussen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BFC Preussen?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (2,009 vs 1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; BFC Preussen have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 6-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 BFC Preussen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0-1 BFC Preussen | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 13, 2025 | BFC Preussen 2-4 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BFC Preussen on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Preussen score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 2.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| BFC Preussen | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nordost (13 points from 5 matches) and BFC Preussen sit 17th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 |
| 17 | BFC Preussen | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BFC Preussen?
- The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for BFC Preussen.
- Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BFC Preussen played?
- FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BFC Preussen is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026AltglienickevsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Aug 28, 2026Chemnitzer FCvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Aug 29, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsHallescher FC
- Aug 29, 2026FSV ZwickauvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Aug 30, 2026RSV EintrachtvsMagdeburg II
- Aug 30, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsErzgebirge Aue
- Aug 30, 2026LuckenwaldevsBFC Dynamo
- Aug 30, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsGreifswalder FC