Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs Greifswalder FC played?

Tasmania Berlin vs Greifswalder FC is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tasmania Berlin vs Greifswalder FC: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin

Tasmania Berlin

Greifswalder FC

The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs Greifswalder FC?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Tasmania Berlin (1,818) and Greifswalder FC (1,906).

Tasmania Berlin win34 %

Draw25 %

Greifswalder FC win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Greifswalder FC have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tasmania Berlin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig(home)	2-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	Luckenwalde(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)	0-6	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(home)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	1-5	Regionalliga - Nordost

Greifswalder FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	BFC Preussen(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 7, 2026	Altglienicke(home)	1-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	Hertha BSC II(away)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	FSV Zwickau(away)	3-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 26, 2026	Hallescher FC(home)	2-2	Regionalliga - Nordost

How many goals should we expect?

Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Greifswalder FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tasmania Berlin	2.3	2.5	3	9/15	12/15
Greifswalder FC	2.7	1.3	4	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and Greifswalder FC sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Greifswalder FC	5	2	2	1	11	7	8
16	Tasmania Berlin	5	1	0	4	6	18	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs Greifswalder FC?: The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Tasmania Berlin.
Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs Greifswalder FC played?: Tasmania Berlin vs Greifswalder FC is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.