Lucko vs Kustosija: result 2-1 and analysis
First NLRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 11, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Igralište Lučkog, Zagreb
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What was the result of Lucko vs Kustosija?
Lucko won 2-1 on March 11, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucko have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Kustosija have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2017 | HNK Hajduk Split II(away) | 2-0 | First NL |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Solin(home) | 1-3 | First NL |
| Nov 18, 2017 | HNK Gorica(away) | 1-1 | First NL |
| Nov 11, 2017 | NK Varazdin(away) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac(home) | 1-1 | First NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2017 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac(home) | 1-1 | First NL |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Novigrad(away) | 2-0 | First NL |
| Nov 18, 2017 | Dugopolje(home) | 2-1 | First NL |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Sibenik(away) | 0-1 | First NL |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Dinamo Zagreb II(home) | 0-1 | First NL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lucko win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kustosija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2017 | Kustosija 0-0 Lucko | First NL |
How many goals should we expect?
Lucko score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kustosija score 0.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucko | 0.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Kustosija | 0.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 4/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kustosija | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy