Lucko vs Kustosija: result 2-1 and analysis
First NLRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 25, 2018 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Igralište Lučkog, Zagreb
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What was the result of Lucko vs Kustosija?
Lucko won 2-1 on August 25, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucko have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Kustosija have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2018 | Dugopolje(home) | 2-0 | First NL |
| May 12, 2018 | Sesvete(away) | 1-2 | First NL |
| May 9, 2018 | NK Varazdin(home) | 2-3 | First NL |
| May 5, 2018 | HNK Hajduk Split II(away) | 0-3 | First NL |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Novigrad(home) | 1-0 | First NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2018 | HNK Hajduk Split II(home) | 2-0 | First NL |
| May 12, 2018 | Novigrad(away) | 1-0 | First NL |
| May 9, 2018 | Sibenik(away) | 3-2 | First NL |
| May 5, 2018 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac(home) | 1-2 | First NL |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Solin(away) | 4-2 | First NL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Lucko win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kustosija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2018 | Kustosija 1-0 Lucko | First NL |
| Mar 11, 2018 | Lucko 2-1 Kustosija | First NL |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Kustosija 0-0 Lucko | First NL |
How many goals should we expect?
Lucko score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kustosija score 1.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucko | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Kustosija | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kustosija | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy