Lucky Mile vs Citizen AA: result 1-4 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 13, 2015 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Hong Kong Football Club Stadium, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Lucky Mile vs Citizen AA?
Citizen AA won 1-4 on December 13, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucky Mile have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Citizen AA have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2015 | Sun Hei(away) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 29, 2015 | Yau Tsim Mong(home) | 0-5 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Wing Yee(away) | 4-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 8, 2015 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 0-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 1, 2015 | Wanchai(away) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2015 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 0-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 29, 2015 | Wanchai(home) | 5-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Kwai Tsing(home) | 3-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 14, 2015 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 8, 2015 | Yau Tsim Mong(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lucky Mile win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Citizen AA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | Lucky Mile 3-1 Citizen AA | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 7, 2014 | Citizen AA 1-1 Lucky Mile | HKFA 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Lucky Mile vs Citizen AA on Mar 14, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Lucky Mile score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Citizen AA score 2.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucky Mile | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Citizen AA | 2.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lucky Mile sit 13th in HKFA 1st Division (3 points from 13 matches) and Citizen AA sit 12th (4 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Citizen AA | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 4 |
| 13 | Lucky Mile | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 58 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy