Lucky Mile vs Citizen AA: result 3-1 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 14, 2015 at 12:15 PM (UTC)Hong Kong Football Club Stadium, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Lucky Mile vs Citizen AA?
Lucky Mile won 3-1 on March 14, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucky Mile have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Citizen AA have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | Kwun Tong(home) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Feb 15, 2015 | Yau Tsim Mong(away) | 3-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Feb 7, 2015 | Happy Valley(home) | 2-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Feb 1, 2015 | Double Flower(away) | 5-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 14, 2014 | Double Flower(home) | 4-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2015 | Sun Hei(home) | 1-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Feb 15, 2015 | Metro Gallery Sun Source(away) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Feb 1, 2015 | Southern District(home) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 14, 2014 | Southern District(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 7, 2014 | Lucky Mile(home) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lucky Mile win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Citizen AA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2014 | Citizen AA 1-1 Lucky Mile | HKFA 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Citizen AA vs Lucky Mile on Dec 7, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Lucky Mile score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Citizen AA score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucky Mile | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Citizen AA | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lucky Mile sit 13th in HKFA 1st Division (3 points from 13 matches) and Citizen AA sit 12th (4 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Citizen AA | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 4 |
| 13 | Lucky Mile | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 58 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy