Where and when is Lugano vs Argentino Rosario played?

Lugano vs Argentino Rosario is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José María Moraños, in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lugano vs Argentino Rosario: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José María Moraños, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Lugano

Argentino Rosario

The Footlab model makes Lugano the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Argentino Rosario. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lugano vs Argentino Rosario?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Lugano (1,565) and Argentino Rosario (1,522).

Lugano win54 %

Draw29 %

Argentino Rosario win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Argentino Rosario have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lugano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Leandro N. Alem(away)	1-0	Primera C
Aug 16, 2026	Lujan(home)	1-2	Primera C
Aug 9, 2026	Victoriano Arenas(home)	0-0	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Defensores de Cambaceres(away)	2-1	Primera C
Jul 25, 2026	Centro Español(home)	1-0	Primera C

Argentino Rosario
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	JJ Urquiza(away)	1-2	Primera C
Aug 16, 2026	Atletico Atlas(away)	0-1	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	Mercedes(home)	2-0	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Deportivo Paraguayo(away)	1-2	Primera C
Jul 23, 2026	Puerto Nuevo(home)	0-0	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lugano win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Argentino Rosario win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 6, 2026	Argentino Rosario 2-1 Lugano	Primera C
Aug 13, 2024	Argentino Rosario 0-1 Lugano	Primera C
Mar 22, 2024	Lugano 0-2 Argentino Rosario	Primera C
Oct 2, 2023	Lugano 1-2 Argentino Rosario	Primera D
Jun 24, 2023	Argentino Rosario 4-2 Lugano	Primera D
Apr 7, 2023	Argentino Rosario 3-0 Lugano	Primera D

Last archived meeting: Argentino Rosario vs Lugano on Jun 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lugano score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Argentino Rosario score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lugano	1.2	0.8	9	6/15	7/15
Argentino Rosario	0.8	1.2	3	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lugano sit 2nd in Primera C (39 points from 25 matches) and Argentino Rosario sit 14th (21 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Lugano	25	10	9	6	29	22	39
14	Argentino Rosario	25	3	12	10	23	31	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lugano vs Argentino Rosario?: The Footlab model makes Lugano the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Argentino Rosario.
Where and when is Lugano vs Argentino Rosario played?: Lugano vs Argentino Rosario is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José María Moraños, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.