Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Morón, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Sportivo Barracas the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Leones de Rosario. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Sportivo Barracas (1,618) and Leones de Rosario (1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportivo Barracas have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Leones de Rosario have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Central Cordoba(away) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Paraguayo(away) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Claypole(home) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 28, 2026 | El Porvenir(home) | 3-2 | Primera C |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Lugano(away) | 2-3 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Canuelas(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Defensores de Cambaceres(home) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Centro Español(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Deportivo Español(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Central Cordoba(home) | 0-2 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sportivo Barracas win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Leones de Rosario win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Leones de Rosario 2-0 Sportivo Barracas | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Leones de Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportivo Barracas score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leones de Rosario score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Barracas | 1.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Leones de Rosario | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportivo Barracas sit 5th in Primera C (34 points from 24 matches) and Leones de Rosario sit 7th (34 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sportivo Barracas | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29 | 25 | 34 |
| 7 | Leones de Rosario | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?
- The Footlab model makes Sportivo Barracas the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Leones de Rosario.
- Where and when is Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario played?
- Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.