Where and when is Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur played?

Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Beto Larrosa, in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Beto Larrosa, Villa Soldati, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Sacachispas

Estrella Del Sur

The Footlab model makes Sacachispas the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 25% for Estrella Del Sur. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Sacachispas (1,632) and Estrella Del Sur (1,638).

Sacachispas win43 %

Draw33 %

Estrella Del Sur win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sacachispas have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Estrella Del Sur have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sacachispas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mercedes(away)	0-2	Primera C
Aug 17, 2026	Deportivo Español(away)	0-0	Primera C
Aug 10, 2026	Deportivo Paraguayo(home)	2-0	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Atletico Atlas(away)	2-0	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Puerto Nuevo(away)	0-1	Primera C

Estrella Del Sur
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Centro Español(away)	0-2	Primera C
Aug 15, 2026	Canuelas(away)	2-1	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	JJ Urquiza(home)	1-0	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Lujan(home)	0-2	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Mercedes(away)	1-1	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sacachispas win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Estrella Del Sur win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 6, 2026	Estrella Del Sur 0-0 Sacachispas	Primera C

Last archived meeting: Estrella Del Sur vs Sacachispas on Jun 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sacachispas score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estrella Del Sur score 1.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sacachispas	0.9	0.5	9	2/15	1/15
Estrella Del Sur	1.0	0.8	7	4/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sacachispas sit 1st in Primera C (42 points from 25 matches) and Estrella Del Sur sit 4th (38 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	25	12	6	7	29	18	42
4	Estrella Del Sur	25	10	8	7	26	23	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur?: The Footlab model makes Sacachispas the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 25% for Estrella Del Sur.
Where and when is Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur played?: Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Beto Larrosa, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.