Lugano vs Juventud Unida: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 17, 2017 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José María Moraños, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires
Full time
What was the result of Lugano vs Juventud Unida?
Lugano won 2-1 on November 17, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Juventud Unida have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2017 | Victoriano Arenas(away) | 1-2 | Primera D |
| Nov 4, 2017 | General Lamadrid(home) | 1-0 | Primera D |
| Oct 28, 2017 | Argentino de Merlo(home) | 1-3 | Primera D |
| Oct 16, 2017 | Deportivo Muñiz(away) | 1-0 | Primera D |
| Oct 9, 2017 | Puerto Nuevo(home) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | Argentino de Merlo(home) | 0-1 | Primera D |
| Nov 5, 2017 | Deportivo Muñiz(away) | 0-1 | Primera D |
| Oct 27, 2017 | Puerto Nuevo(home) | 2-2 | Primera D |
| Oct 16, 2017 | Deportivo Paraguayo(away) | 2-0 | Primera D |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Yupanqui(home) | 2-1 | Primera D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lugano win, 3 draws, 2 Juventud Unida wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2017 | Juventud Unida 2-0 Lugano | Primera D |
| Dec 6, 2016 | Lugano 0-3 Juventud Unida | Primera D |
| Apr 12, 2014 | Juventud Unida 1-1 Lugano | Primera D |
| Nov 3, 2013 | Lugano 0-0 Juventud Unida | Primera D |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Juventud Unida 1-1 Lugano | Primera D |
| May 12, 2012 | Lugano 3-0 Juventud Unida | Primera D |
Last archived meeting: Juventud Unida vs Lugano on Jun 13, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Lugano score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud Unida score 1.2 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano | 0.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Juventud Unida | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugano sit 9th in Primera D (16 points from 13 matches) and Juventud Unida sit 5th (20 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Juventud Unida | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 20 |
| 9 | Lugano | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy