Lugano vs Mercedes: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DApertura - 3Kick-off on April 1, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio José María Moraños, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires
Full time
What was the result of Lugano vs Mercedes?
Lugano won 2-1 on April 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 45′?Lugano
- 70′?Lugano
- 90′?Mercedes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mercedes have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | Deportivo Paraguayo(away) | 1-0 | Primera D |
| Mar 18, 2023 | El Porvenir(home) | 0-1 | Primera D |
| Oct 4, 2022 | Central Ballester(home) | 3-2 | Primera D |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Yupanqui(away) | 1-3 | Primera D |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Centro Español(home) | 2-0 | Primera D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | Central Ballester(home) | 1-0 | Primera D |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Centro Español(away) | 1-1 | Primera D |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Juventud Unida(away) | 0-1 | Primera D |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Sportivo Barracas(home) | 2-1 | Primera D |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Defensores de Cambaceres(away) | 0-3 | Primera D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Lugano win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Mercedes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2022 | Mercedes 1-2 Lugano | Primera D |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Lugano 3-0 Mercedes | Primera D |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugano score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mercedes score 0.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Mercedes | 0.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lugano | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy