Lugo vs Mérida AD: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo
Full time
What was the result of Lugo vs Mérida AD?
Lugo won 1-0 on January 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 34′N. RenieroLugo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugo have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Mérida AD have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | Ourense CF(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Osasuna II(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Tenerife(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Athletic Club II(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Pontevedra(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | Athletic Club II(home) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | CF Talavera(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Ourense CF(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Real Avilés(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugo score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mérida AD score 1.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugo | 0.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Mérida AD | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugo sit 9th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (53 points from 38 matches) and Mérida AD sit 10th (52 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 40 | 53 |
| 10 | Mérida AD | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47 | 53 | 52 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 3, 2026Pontevedra2-1Racing Ferrol
- Jan 3, 2026Barakaldo5-0Unionistas de Salamanca
- Jan 3, 2026Ourense CF2-1Real Avilés
- Jan 4, 2026Cacereño2-3Celta de Vigo II
- Jan 4, 2026CF Talavera2-0Guadalajara
- Jan 4, 2026Real Madrid II2-0Arenteiro
- Jan 4, 2026Osasuna II0-2Tenerife
- Jan 4, 2026Athletic Club II1-0Ponferradina