Lecco vs Lumezzane: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
The Footlab AI model makes Lecco the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Lumezzane. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lecco wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lecco vs Lumezzane?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Lecco (1,769) and Lumezzane (1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lecco vs Lumezzane
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lecco
4-3-3- 15Alexander Murillo
- 10A. Capello
- 30N. Fasan
- 17G. Pellegrino
- 6A. Mallamo
- 21A. Metlika
- 5M. Arena
- 99Giulio Manenti
- 45M. Rizzo
- 4P. Comi
- 22T. Vettorel
Lumezzane
4-3-3- 32G. Anatriello
- 11A. Ghillani
- 9T. Ebone
- 19M. Rolando
- 17Sasha Mancini
- 4F. Paghera
- 30A. Boffelli
- 21J. Deratti
- 15M. Ndiaye
- 42D. Baroncioni
- 13L. Andrenacci
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecco have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Lumezzane have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Lecco wins, 3 draws, 1 Lumezzane win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lecco 2-2 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Lumezzane 1-1 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Lumezzane 4-0 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Lecco 1-1 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Lecco score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lumezzane score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecco | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Lumezzane | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lecco sit 12th in Serie C - Girone A (10 points from 9 matches) and Lumezzane sit 10th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lumezzane | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 12 | Lecco | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
A question about Lecco vs Lumezzane?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lecco vs Lumezzane?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lecco the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Lumezzane.
- Where and when is Lecco vs Lumezzane played?
- Lecco vs Lumezzane is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026PRO VercellivsNovara
- Nov 22, 2026Giana ErminiovsJuventus U23
- Nov 22, 2026Folgore CaratesevsArzignano Valchiampo
- Nov 22, 2026TrentovsCittadella
- Nov 22, 2026Desenzano CalvinavsAlbinoleffe
- Nov 22, 2026Dolomiti BellunesivsAthletic Carpi
- Nov 22, 2026AlcionevsOspitaletto
- Nov 22, 2026TrevisovsPergolettese