Torreense vs Lusitânia Lourosa: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaMatchday 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras
The Footlab AI model makes Torreense the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Lusitânia Lourosa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torreense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,450 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torreense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Torreense (2,010) and Lusitânia Lourosa (1,999).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torreense vs Lusitânia Lourosa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torreense
4-2-3-1- 11Manu Pozo
- 8Alejandro Alfaro
- 7D. Jean
- 5M. Diadie
- 6A. Oudrhiri
- 26André Simões
- 4Volnei Feltes
- 23Javi Vázquez
- 22David Bruno
- 45J. Mutombo
- 31Adriel
Lusitânia Lourosa
4-3-3- 12Arsénio
- 17João Santos
- 21Paulité
- 27Fabinho
- 20Diogo Paulo
- 88Miguel Teixeira
- 24Ricardinho
- 22Bruno Faria
- 52F. Machado
- 4D. Collard
- 29Brian Araújo
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 05:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torreense have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Lusitânia Lourosa have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Feirense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Farense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Os Limianos(home) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Torreense wins, 1 draw, 1 Lusitânia Lourosa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa 2-2 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| May 9, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa 1-2 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Torreense 0-1 Lusitânia Lourosa | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Lusitânia Lourosa 0-1 Torreense | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torreense score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lusitânia Lourosa score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torreense | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Lusitânia Lourosa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torreense sit 13th in Segunda Liga (10 points from 10 matches) and Lusitânia Lourosa sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 19 |
| 13 | Torreense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
A question about Torreense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torreense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torreense the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Lusitânia Lourosa.
- Where and when is Torreense vs Lusitânia Lourosa played?
- Torreense vs Lusitânia Lourosa is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Manuel Marques, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.