Torreense vs Lusitânia Lourosa: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras
The Footlab model makes Torreense the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Lusitânia Lourosa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torreense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Torreense (2,001) and Lusitânia Lourosa (1,923).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torreense have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Lusitânia Lourosa have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Farense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 0-1 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Torreense win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lusitânia Lourosa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa 2-2 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| May 9, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa 1-2 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Torreense 0-1 Lusitânia Lourosa | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Lusitânia Lourosa 0-1 Torreense | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torreense score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lusitânia Lourosa score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torreense | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Lusitânia Lourosa | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torreense sit 14th in Segunda Liga (2 points from 3 matches) and Lusitânia Lourosa sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 14 | Torreense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torreense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
- The Footlab model makes Torreense the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Lusitânia Lourosa.
- Where and when is Torreense vs Lusitânia Lourosa played?
- Torreense vs Lusitânia Lourosa is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Manuel Marques, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.