Match

Luton vs Alfreton Town: result 1-0 and analysis

National LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on January 28, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire

Luton
1-0
Alfreton Town

Full time

What was the result of Luton vs Alfreton Town?

Luton won 1-0 on January 28, 2012.

Goalscorers

  • 39′George PilkingtonLuton (pen.)

Official lineup for Luton vs Alfreton Town

The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.

Luton

  1. CC. McAllister
  2. DDanny Crow
  1. RR. Willmott
  2. AAlex Lawless
  3. AA. Watkins
  1. DDaniel Gleeson
  2. JJanos Kovacs
  3. JJake Howells
  4. GGeorge Pilkington
  5. GG. Taylor
  1. MM. Tyler

Alfreton Town

  1. NNathan Jarman
  1. AA. Brown
  2. JJ. Moult
  3. NNathan Arnold
  4. JJamie John Mullan
  5. CC. Clay
  1. TT. Streete
  2. GGreg Young
  3. DDarren Kempson
  4. LLeigh Franks
  1. DD. Lowson
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What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Alfreton Town have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Luton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2012Mansfield Town(home)0-0National League
Jan 23, 2012Hinckley United(home)3-0FA Trophy
Jan 21, 2012Southport(away)3-3National League
Jan 18, 2012Hinckley United(away)0-0FA Trophy
Jan 10, 2012Stockport County(home)1-0National League
Alfreton Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2012Bath City(away)3-0National League
Jan 21, 2012Kidderminster Harriers(home)0-2National League
Jan 14, 2012Weymouth(away)6-0FA Trophy
Jan 7, 2012Grimsby(home)2-5National League
Jan 1, 2012Tamworth(away)2-2National League

How many goals should we expect?

Luton score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alfreton Town score 2.1 and concede 1.8.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Luton2.00.796/156/15
Alfreton Town2.11.848/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

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