Luton vs Alfreton Town: result 1-0 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on January 28, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
Full time
What was the result of Luton vs Alfreton Town?
Luton won 1-0 on January 28, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 39′George PilkingtonLuton (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Alfreton Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2012 | Mansfield Town(home) | 0-0 | National League |
| Jan 23, 2012 | Hinckley United(home) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 21, 2012 | Southport(away) | 3-3 | National League |
| Jan 18, 2012 | Hinckley United(away) | 0-0 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 10, 2012 | Stockport County(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2012 | Bath City(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Jan 21, 2012 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Jan 14, 2012 | Weymouth(away) | 6-0 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 7, 2012 | Grimsby(home) | 2-5 | National League |
| Jan 1, 2012 | Tamworth(away) | 2-2 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alfreton Town score 2.1 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 2.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Alfreton Town | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 28, 2012Grimsby2-0AFC Telford United
- Jan 28, 2012Cambridge United0-1Tamworth
- Jan 28, 2012Forest Green1-2Fleetwood Town
- Jan 28, 2012Gateshead2-3Newport County
- Jan 28, 2012Braintree1-0Barrow
- Jan 28, 2012Wrexham2-0Bath City
- Jan 28, 2012Ebbsfleet United0-3Mansfield Town
- Jan 28, 2012Stockport County2-1Kidderminster Harriers