Luton vs Aston Villa: result 2-3 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 2, 2024 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
Full time
What was the result of Luton vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa won 2-3 on March 2, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 24′O. WatkinsAston Villa
- 38′O. WatkinsAston Villa
- 66′T. ChongLuton
- 72′C. MorrisLuton
- 89′L. DigneAston Villa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Aston Villa have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | Manchester City(home) | 2-6 | FA Cup |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Liverpool(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Manchester United(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Newcastle(away) | 4-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fulham(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Manchester United(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Chelsea(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Luton win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aston Villa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2023 | Aston Villa 3-1 Luton | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2016 | Luton 3-1 Aston Villa | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 1.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 1.9 | 2.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Aston Villa | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy