Where and when is Luton vs Bradford played?

Luton vs Bradford is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kenilworth Road, in the League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Luton vs Bradford: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire

Luton

Bradford

The Footlab model makes Luton the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Bradford. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Luton vs Bradford?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Luton (1,941) and Bradford (1,882).

Luton win48 %

Draw26 %

Bradford win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Bradford have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Luton
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Notts County(home)	2-2	League One
Aug 15, 2026	Reading(away)	4-3	League One
Aug 8, 2026	Gillingham(away)	3-0	League Cup
Aug 2, 2026	GO Ahead Eagles(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Al Kholood(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

Bradford
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Sheffield Wednesday(away)	1-0	League One
Aug 15, 2026	Peterborough(home)	2-0	League One
Aug 8, 2026	Rochdale(home)	2-0	League Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Salford City(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Preston(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Luton win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bradford win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 7, 2026	Luton 2-1 Bradford	League One
Aug 16, 2025	Bradford 2-1 Luton	League One
Mar 12, 2019	Bradford 0-1 Luton	League One
Nov 27, 2018	Luton 4-0 Bradford	League One

Last archived meeting: Luton vs Bradford on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Luton score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bradford score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Luton	2.5	1.1	5	9/15	12/15
Bradford	1.6	1.0	3	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Luton sit 3rd in League One (4 points from 2 matches) and Bradford sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bradford	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
3	Luton	2	1	1	0	6	5	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Luton vs Bradford?: The Footlab model makes Luton the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Bradford.
Where and when is Luton vs Bradford played?: Luton vs Bradford is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kenilworth Road, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.