Luton vs Northampton: result 2-1 and analysis
EFL TrophySemi-finalsKick-off on March 4, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
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What was the result of Luton vs Northampton?
Luton won 2-1 on March 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 17′Kyle James McAdamNorthampton
- 53′N. WellsLuton
- 82′L. WalshLuton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Northampton have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 0-4 | League One |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Luton win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Northampton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Northampton 0-1 Luton | League One |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Northampton 1-2 Luton | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Northampton 0-3 Luton | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2016 | Northampton 2-0 Luton | League Two |
| Dec 12, 2015 | Luton 3-4 Northampton | League Two |
| Mar 28, 2015 | Northampton 2-1 Luton | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Northampton score 1.0 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Northampton | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luton sit 1st in EFL Trophy (6 points from 3 matches) and Northampton sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northampton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 1 | Luton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy