Luton vs Plymouth: result 0-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 6, 2014 at 11:15 AM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
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What was the result of Luton vs Plymouth?
Plymouth won 0-1 on September 6, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 68′D. BlizzardPlymouth
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Plymouth have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2014 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Aug 23, 2014 | Accrington ST(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 19, 2014 | Bury(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2014 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 12, 2014 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2014 | Southend(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Aug 23, 2014 | Bury(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 19, 2014 | Stevenage(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2014 | Exeter City(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 12, 2014 | Leyton Orient(home) | 5-5 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth score 1.4 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Plymouth | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy