Match

Luton vs Stevenage: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire

LutonStevenage

The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Stevenage. The most likely score is 1-1. If Luton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Luton vs Stevenage?

On Elo ratings, Luton has 1,960 points and Stevenage 1,900.

51%25%24%
Luton winDrawStevenage win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Luton vs Stevenage

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Luton

4-1-4-1
  1. 21N. Wells
  1. 8L. Walsh
  2. 18J. Clark
  3. 45K. Palmer
  4. 10J. Donley
  5. 17T. Mendel-Idowu
  1. 2H. Odoffin
  2. 5M. Andersen
  3. 6G. Johnston
  4. 3K. Naismith
  1. 1J. Shea

Stevenage

3-4-1-2
  1. 9J. Magennis
  2. 18O. Sanderson
  1. 8D. Phillips
  2. 10D. Kemp
  3. 14S. Earley
  4. 24M. Smith
  5. 25Wanya Marçal
  1. 5C. Piergianni
  2. 2L. James-Wildin
  3. 15T. Vancooten
  1. 1T. Setford

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:58 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Stevenage have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Luton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Wycombe(away)4-1League One
Oct 3, 2026Colchester(away)1-1EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Ipswich Town U21(home)6-0EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Bradford(home)0-1League One
Sep 10, 2026Stevenage(away)1-2League One
Stevenage
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Wigan(home)1-0League One
Oct 6, 2026Leicester(home)2-1EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Walsall(away)6-1EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Leyton Orient(away)0-1League One
Sep 10, 2026Luton(home)2-1League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Luton wins, 2 draws, 2 Stevenage wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 10, 2026Stevenage 2-1 LutonLeague One
Jan 10, 2026Luton 2-1 StevenageLeague One
Oct 4, 2025Stevenage 2-0 LutonLeague One
Aug 10, 2021Stevenage 2-2 LutonLeague Cup
Feb 10, 2018Stevenage 1-1 LutonLeague Two
Oct 14, 2017Luton 7-1 StevenageLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Stevenage vs Luton on Sep 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Luton score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stevenage score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Luton2.01.448/158/15
Stevenage1.61.348/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Luton sit 13th in League One (11 points from 8 matches) and Stevenage sit 9th (12 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Stevenage833212812
13Luton8323161511

A question about Luton vs Stevenage?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Luton vs Stevenage?
The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Stevenage.
Where and when is Luton vs Stevenage played?
Luton vs Stevenage is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kenilworth Road, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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