Mansfield Town vs Stevenage: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)One Call Stadium, Mansfield, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Stevenage. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mansfield Town vs Stevenage?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Mansfield Town (1,834) and Stevenage (1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mansfield Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Stevenage have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Manchester City U21(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mansfield Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Stevenage win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Stevenage 1-1 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Mansfield Town 1-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Stevenage 1-1 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Stevenage 0-1 Mansfield Town | FA Cup |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Mansfield Town 0-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Mansfield Town 1-0 Stevenage | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Stevenage vs Mansfield Town on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mansfield Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Stevenage score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Stevenage | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mansfield Town sit 11th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Stevenage sit 19th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 19 | Stevenage | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mansfield Town vs Stevenage?
- The Footlab model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Stevenage.
- Where and when is Mansfield Town vs Stevenage played?
- Mansfield Town vs Stevenage is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at One Call Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.