Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Tienen: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex De Doelvelden, Berlaar
The Footlab model makes Lyra-Lierse Berlaar the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Tienen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Tienen?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Lyra-Lierse Berlaar (1,812) and Tienen (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lyra-Lierse Berlaar have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Tienen have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 4-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Thes Sport(home) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 5-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tienen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1-0 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Tienen 2-3 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 2-2 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Tienen 0-3 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Tienen on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tienen score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Tienen | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar sit 3rd in First Amateur Division (23 points from 13 matches) and Tienen sit 15th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 23 |
| 15 | Tienen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Tienen?
- The Footlab model makes Lyra-Lierse Berlaar the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Tienen.
- Where and when is Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Tienen played?
- Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Tienen is played on November 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex De Doelvelden, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.