Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Mandel United: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee
The Footlab model makes Mandel United the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Mandel United?
Mandel United starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,986 vs 1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oud-Heverlee Leuven II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Mandel United have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 4-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | VW Hamme(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | HO Kalken(away) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Mechelen II(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | FC Lebbeke(away) | 0-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Mandel United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 2-1 Mandel United | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Mandel United 1-2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Mandel United on Feb 19, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mandel United score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Mandel United | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Mandel United?
- The Footlab model makes Mandel United the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II.
- Where and when is Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Mandel United played?
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Mandel United is played on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.