Thes Sport vs Merelbeke: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportcentrum Tessenderlo, Tessenderlo
The Footlab AI model makes Thes Sport the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Merelbeke. The most likely score is 1-1. If Thes Sport wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,605 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thes Sport vs Merelbeke?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Thes Sport (1,993) and Merelbeke (1,915).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Thes Sport vs Merelbeke
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Thes Sport
Not enough data to predict the Thes Sport lineup.
Merelbeke
Not enough data to predict the Merelbeke lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 12:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thes Sport have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Merelbeke have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Houtvenne(away) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Harelbeke(away) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Heist(home) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Houtvenne(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Thes Sport wins, 0 draws, 2 Merelbeke wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Merelbeke 2-0 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Thes Sport 1-0 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Merelbeke 3-0 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Thes Sport 5-0 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Merelbeke vs Thes Sport on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Thes Sport score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Merelbeke score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thes Sport | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Merelbeke | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thes Sport sit 5th in First Amateur Division (22 points from 12 matches) and Merelbeke sit 14th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thes Sport | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 22 |
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Thes Sport vs Merelbeke?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thes Sport vs Merelbeke?
- The Footlab AI model makes Thes Sport the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Merelbeke.
- Where and when is Thes Sport vs Merelbeke played?
- Thes Sport vs Merelbeke is played on November 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcentrum Tessenderlo, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.