Tienen vs Houtvenne: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bergéstadion, Tirlemont
The Footlab AI model makes Houtvenne the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Tienen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Houtvenne wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tienen vs Houtvenne?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Tienen (1,865) and Houtvenne (1,943).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tienen vs Houtvenne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tienen
Not enough data to predict the Tienen lineup.
Houtvenne
Not enough data to predict the Houtvenne lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tienen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Houtvenne have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Thes Sport(away) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Heist(away) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Heist(away) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Tienen wins, 0 draws, 2 Houtvenne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Houtvenne 3-1 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Tienen 0-2 Houtvenne | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Houtvenne 0-1 Tienen | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Tienen 1-0 Houtvenne | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
How many goals should we expect?
Tienen score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Houtvenne score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tienen | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Houtvenne | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tienen sit 15th in First Amateur Division (11 points from 12 matches) and Houtvenne sit 12th (13 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Houtvenne | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
| 15 | Tienen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 11 |
A question about Tienen vs Houtvenne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tienen vs Houtvenne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Houtvenne the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Tienen.
- Where and when is Tienen vs Houtvenne played?
- Tienen vs Houtvenne is played on December 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bergéstadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.