Maardu vs Elva: result 1-2 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular SeasonKick-off on April 2, 2017 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Maardu kunstmuruväljak, Maardu
Full time
What was the result of Maardu vs Elva?
Elva won 1-2 on April 2, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 39′60434Elva
- 42′K. TinnElva
- 50′Maksim KrivošeinMaardu
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maardu have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Elva have 0, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2017 | Flora II(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 11, 2017 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 5, 2017 | FCI Levadia II(home) | 2-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 6, 2016 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 5-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 27, 2016 | Flora II(home) | 1-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 0-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 12, 2017 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 5, 2017 | Tartu Welco(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Maardu score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Elva score 0.3 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maardu | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Elva | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maardu sit 8th in Esiliiga A (16 points from 15 matches) and Elva sit 4th (23 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Elva | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 23 |
| 4 | Elva | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 38 |
| 6 | Maardu | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 52 | 35 |
| 8 | Maardu | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy