Macaé vs Serrano RJ: result 0-1 and analysis
Carioca - 2Group Stage - 6Kick-off on October 14, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Claúdio Moacir de Azevedo, Macaé, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Macaé vs Serrano RJ?
Serrano RJ won 0-1 on October 14, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macaé have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Serrano RJ have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2023 | Barra da Tijuca(away) | 0-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | 7 de Abril(home) | 5-3 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Paduano(away) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 3-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 12, 2023 | São Gonçalo EC RJ(away) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2023 | Nova Cidade(home) | 3-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Portuguesa RJ(home) | 1-1 | Copa Rio |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Pérolas Negras(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Portuguesa RJ(away) | 2-3 | Copa Rio |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Friburguense(home) | 2-0 | Carioca - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Macaé score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Serrano RJ score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macaé | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Serrano RJ | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macaé sit 8th in Carioca - 2 (7 points from 6 matches) and Serrano RJ sit 3rd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Serrano RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Macaé | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy