Macarthur vs Melbourne City: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC)Campbelltown Sports Stadium, Sydney
The Footlab AI model makes Macarthur the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Melbourne City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Macarthur wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macarthur vs Melbourne City?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Macarthur (1,799) and Melbourne City (1,872).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Macarthur vs Melbourne City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Macarthur
4-2-3-1- 9B. Gibson
- 17O. Randazzo
- 31S. Krslovic
- 20H. Oliveira
- 22L. Rose
- 35A. El-Sabeh
- 25C. Talbot
- 21N. Paull
- 33H. Menham
- 5J. Aspropotamitis
- 1A. Robinson
Melbourne City
4-3-3- 17M. Caputo
- 35M. Memeti
- 15A. Nabbout
- 14Besian Kutleshi
- 24Kavian Rahmani
- 41L. Wong
- 13N. Atkinson
- 2H. Delbridge
- 22P. Antoniou
- 4L. Bonetig
- 40J. Nieuwenhuizen
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macarthur have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Melbourne City have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Uni Azzurri(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(home) | 4-0 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Adelaide United(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lions(away) | 0-2 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Weston Bears(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| May 2, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Macarthur wins, 2 draws, 1 Melbourne City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Macarthur 6-2 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Melbourne City 1-1 Macarthur | A-League |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Melbourne City 2-0 Macarthur | A-League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Macarthur 1-0 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Macarthur 2-0 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Melbourne City 3-3 Macarthur | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Macarthur vs Melbourne City on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Macarthur score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Melbourne City score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macarthur | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Melbourne City | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macarthur sit 7th in A-League (34 points from 26 matches) and Melbourne City sit 6th (38 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 44 | 34 |
A question about Macarthur vs Melbourne City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macarthur vs Melbourne City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Macarthur the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Melbourne City.
- Where and when is Macarthur vs Melbourne City played?
- Macarthur vs Melbourne City is played on November 27, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC) at Campbelltown Sports Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.