Perth Glory vs Melbourne City: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 10:45 AM (UTC)HBF Park, Perth
The Footlab AI model makes Perth Glory the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Melbourne City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Perth Glory wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?
On Elo ratings, Perth Glory has 1,707 points and Melbourne City 1,872.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Perth Glory vs Melbourne City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Perth Glory
4-1-4-1- 22A. Taggart
- 13H. Hore
- 16Lucas Scicluna
- 7N. Pennington
- 27W. Freney
- 9J. Kucharski
- 45B. Kaltak
- 24A. Lebib
- 4S. Wootton
- 3S. Sutton
- 33M. Sutton
Melbourne City
4-3-3- 17M. Caputo
- 35M. Memeti
- 15A. Nabbout
- 14Besian Kutleshi
- 24Kavian Rahmani
- 41L. Wong
- 13N. Atkinson
- 2H. Delbridge
- 22P. Antoniou
- 4L. Bonetig
- 40J. Nieuwenhuizen
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Perth Glory have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Melbourne City have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lions(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lions(away) | 0-2 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Weston Bears(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| May 2, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Perth Glory wins, 1 draw, 3 Melbourne City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Perth Glory 1-1 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Melbourne City 1-3 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Melbourne City 4-0 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Melbourne City 1-0 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Perth Glory 0-5 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Perth Glory 5-4 Melbourne City | Australia Cup |
Last archived meeting: Perth Glory vs Melbourne City on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Perth Glory score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Melbourne City score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Melbourne City | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Perth Glory sit 10th in A-League (31 points from 26 matches) and Melbourne City sit 6th (38 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 38 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
A question about Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Perth Glory the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Melbourne City.
- Where and when is Perth Glory vs Melbourne City played?
- Perth Glory vs Melbourne City is played on December 11, 2026 at 10:45 AM (UTC) at HBF Park, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.