Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Nordia Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 31Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Malachi Stadium, Kiryat Malakhi
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Nordia Jerusalem?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (1,645) and Nordia Jerusalem (1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Nordia Jerusalem have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Nordia Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 2-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 2-1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 2-1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-4 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-2 Nordia Jerusalem | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Nordia Jerusalem on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi sit 5th in Liga Alef (35 points from 22 matches) and Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th (15 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 35 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Nordia Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Nordia Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Nordia Jerusalem played?
- Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on March 26, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Malachi Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 26, 2027Hapoel AzorvsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Mar 26, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsMaccabi Ashdod
- Mar 27, 2027DimonavsHapoel Marmorek
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsHolon Yermiyahu
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel SderotvsKfar Saba 1928
- Mar 27, 2027Beitar YavnevsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Mar 27, 2027Tzeirey TiravsMaccabi Yavne
- Mar 27, 2027FC JerusalemvsHapoel Hadera