Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Katamon: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Haifa the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Hapoel Katamon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Katamon?
Maccabi Haifa starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,835).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Haifa have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Katamon have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 2-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 4-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 0-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 2-5 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 2-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maccabi Haifa win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Katamon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa 0-1 Hapoel Katamon | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon 1-1 Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Maccabi Haifa 2-2 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Maccabi Haifa 3-3 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Hapoel Katamon 0-0 Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Maccabi Haifa 2-1 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Katamon on Aug 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Haifa score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Katamon score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Haifa | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Hapoel Katamon | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Haifa sit 2nd in Ligat Ha'al (3 points from 1 matches) and Hapoel Katamon sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Maccabi Haifa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Maccabi Haifa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Katamon?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Haifa the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Hapoel Katamon.
- Where and when is Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Katamon played?
- Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Katamon is played on January 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sammy Ofer Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.