FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 31Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Har Huma synthetic, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Hadera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera?
FC Jerusalem starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Jerusalem have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Hadera have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 5-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-6 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(home) | 3-3 | Liga Leumit |
| May 8, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 5, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Hadera score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Jerusalem | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Hadera | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera?
- The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Hadera.
- Where and when is FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera played?
- FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera is played on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Har Huma synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Mar 26, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsMaccabi Ashdod
- Mar 26, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsNordia Jerusalem
- Mar 27, 2027DimonavsHapoel Marmorek
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsHolon Yermiyahu
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel SderotvsKfar Saba 1928
- Mar 27, 2027Beitar YavnevsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Mar 27, 2027Tzeirey TiravsMaccabi Yavne