Hapoel Herzliya vs Holon Yermiyahu: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 31Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya
The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Herzliya vs Holon Yermiyahu?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Hapoel Herzliya (1,620) and Holon Yermiyahu (1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Herzliya have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Holon Yermiyahu have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hapoel Herzliya win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Holon Yermiyahu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 0-4 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-0 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 3-1 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 4-1 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Hapoel Herzliya 0-0 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Holon Yermiyahu 2-5 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Herzliya vs Holon Yermiyahu on Dec 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th in Liga Alef (22 points from 22 matches) and Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Herzliya vs Holon Yermiyahu?
- The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Hapoel Herzliya vs Holon Yermiyahu played?
- Hapoel Herzliya vs Holon Yermiyahu is played on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 26, 2027Hapoel AzorvsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Mar 26, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsMaccabi Ashdod
- Mar 26, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsNordia Jerusalem
- Mar 27, 2027DimonavsHapoel Marmorek
- Mar 27, 2027Hapoel SderotvsKfar Saba 1928
- Mar 27, 2027Beitar YavnevsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Mar 27, 2027Tzeirey TiravsMaccabi Yavne
- Mar 27, 2027FC JerusalemvsHapoel Hadera