Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Katamon: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Hapoel Katamon. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Katamon?
Maccabi Tel Aviv starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (2,097 vs 1,852).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Tel Aviv have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Katamon have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 5-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Lugano(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 2-5 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 2-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Maccabi Tel Aviv win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Katamon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon 2-5 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon 1-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-1 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-1 Hapoel Katamon | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-0 Hapoel Katamon | State Cup |
| Dec 16, 2024 | Hapoel Katamon 2-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Tel Aviv on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Tel Aviv score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Katamon score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Hapoel Katamon | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Tel Aviv sit 1st in Ligat Ha'al (3 points from 1 matches) and Hapoel Katamon sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Katamon?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Hapoel Katamon.
- Where and when is Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Katamon played?
- Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Katamon is played on December 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.