Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Katamon: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alMatchday 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
The Footlab AI model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Hapoel Katamon. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Katamon?
Maccabi Tel Aviv starts as the favourite with a 277-point Elo edge (2,054 vs 1,777).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Katamon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4-1-4-1- 19E. Madmon
- 42Dor Peretz
- 16G. Kanichowsky
- 29Hélio Varela
- 28I. Sissokho
- 77O. Davida
- 13R. Shlomo
- 2J. Tavernier
- 5M. Camara
- 11S. Yehezkel
- 1O. Melika
Hapoel Katamon
4-4-2- 10V. Damaşcan
- 23Nati Shafrau
- 91C. Tiéhi
- 25A. Idoko
- 22T. Haimovich
- 19N. Vrasana
- 3N. Malmud
- 16O. Agvadish
- 18L. Mizrachi
- 20O. Nadir
- 55N. Zamir
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 10:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Tel Aviv have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Hapoel Katamon have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 2-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 5-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 2-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(home) | 6-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(away) | 0-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(home) | 1-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(away) | 1-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 0-3 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 1-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(home) | 1-4 | Ligat Ha'al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Maccabi Tel Aviv wins, 0 draws, 0 Hapoel Katamon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon 2-5 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon 1-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-1 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-1 Hapoel Katamon | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-0 Hapoel Katamon | State Cup |
| Dec 16, 2024 | Hapoel Katamon 2-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Tel Aviv on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Tel Aviv score 2.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Katamon score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Hapoel Katamon | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Tel Aviv sit 1st in Ligat Ha'al (24 points from 10 matches) and Hapoel Katamon sit 10th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 24 |
| 10 | Hapoel Katamon | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 9 |
A question about Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Katamon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Katamon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Hapoel Katamon.
- Where and when is Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Katamon played?
- Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Katamon is played on December 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.