Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)HaMoshava Stadium, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Petah Tikva the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Ironi Tiberias. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Hapoel Petah Tikva (1,822) and Ironi Tiberias (1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Petah Tikva have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Ironi Tiberias have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 0-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 0-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 2-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hapoel Petah Tikva win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ironi Tiberias win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias 1-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias 1-4 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-2 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 3-2 Ironi Tiberias | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 3-0 Ironi Tiberias | Liga Leumit |
| Jan 27, 2023 | Ironi Tiberias 0-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Petah Tikva score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Tiberias score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ironi Tiberias | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Petah Tikva sit 12th in Ligat Ha'al (0 points from 1 matches) and Ironi Tiberias sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Petah Tikva the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Ironi Tiberias.
- Where and when is Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias played?
- Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias is played on December 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at HaMoshava Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.