Madagascar vs Gambia: result 1-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2024 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
Full time
What was the result of Madagascar vs Gambia?
Madagascar and Gambia drew 1-1 on October 11, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 45′C. CouturierMadagascar
- 90′Y. MintehGambia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Madagascar have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gambia have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2024 | Comoros(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Tunisia(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Mali(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jun 7, 2024 | Comoros(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 25, 2024 | Rwanda(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | Tunisia(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Comoros(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Gabon(away) | 2-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Seychelles(home) | 5-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Cameroon(home) | 2-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Madagascar score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gambia score 1.3 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madagascar | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Gambia | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Madagascar sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (2 points from 6 matches) and Gambia sit 3rd (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gambia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 4 | Madagascar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy