Madagascar vs Gambia: result 1-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2024 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
Full time
What was the result of Madagascar vs Gambia?
Madagascar and Gambia drew 1-1 on October 11, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 45′C. CouturierMadagascar
- 90′Y. MintehGambia
Official lineup for Madagascar vs Gambia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Madagascar
- 15Ibrahim Samuel Amada
- 19W. Caddy
- 7R. Raveloson
- 11El Hadari
- 14C. Couturier
- 3K. Boto
- 12Radoniaina Rabemanantsoa
- 13R. Ponti
- 18S. Trémoulet
- 20Louis Demeleon
- 23S. Laiton
Gambia
- 7A. Fadera
- 20Y. Minteh
- 23M. Badamosi
- 3A. Jallow
- 4S. Khan
- 8E. Adams
- 13I. Touray
- 15J. Ceesay
- 5O. Colley
- 12J. Gomez
- 1E. Jarju
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Madagascar have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gambia have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2024 | Comoros(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Tunisia(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Mali(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jun 7, 2024 | Comoros(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 25, 2024 | Rwanda(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | Tunisia(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Comoros(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Gabon(away) | 2-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Seychelles(home) | 5-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Cameroon(home) | 2-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Madagascar score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gambia score 1.3 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madagascar | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Gambia | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Madagascar sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (1 point from 2 matches) and Gambia sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | GambiaGroup C | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | MadagascarGroup L | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Madagascar vs Gambia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy