MAFCO vs Ekhaya: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Chitowe Stadium, Nkhotakota
The Footlab model makes MAFCO the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Ekhaya. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MAFCO vs Ekhaya?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate MAFCO (1,437) and Ekhaya (1,502).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MAFCO have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ekhaya have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CIVO United(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Masters FC(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blue Eagles(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(away) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Creck(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Silver Strikers(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chitipa United(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 MAFCO win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ekhaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Ekhaya 1-0 MAFCO | Super League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | MAFCO 2-1 Ekhaya | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Ekhaya 1-0 MAFCO | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
MAFCO score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ekhaya score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAFCO | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Ekhaya | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MAFCO sit 13th in Super League (13 points from 14 matches) and Ekhaya sit 10th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ekhaya | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Ekhaya | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 17 |
| 12 | MAFCO | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | MAFCO | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MAFCO vs Ekhaya?
- The Footlab model makes MAFCO the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Ekhaya.
- Where and when is MAFCO vs Ekhaya played?
- MAFCO vs Ekhaya is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Chitowe Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.