Moyale Barracks vs Karonga United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Mzuzu Stadium, Mzuzu
The Footlab AI model makes Moyale Barracks the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Karonga United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Moyale Barracks wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moyale Barracks vs Karonga United?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Moyale Barracks (1,484) and Karonga United (1,457).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Moyale Barracks vs Karonga United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Moyale Barracks
Not enough data to predict the Moyale Barracks lineup.
Karonga United
Not enough data to predict the Karonga United lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moyale Barracks have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Karonga United have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Creck(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | MAFCO(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CIVO United(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ekhaya(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Moyale Barracks win, 1 draw, 4 Karonga United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Karonga United 0-0 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Karonga United 3-1 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Moyale Barracks 0-1 Karonga United | Super League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Moyale Barracks 1-0 Karonga United | Super League |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Karonga United 2-0 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Karonga United 2-0 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Karonga United vs Moyale Barracks on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Moyale Barracks score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karonga United score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moyale Barracks | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Karonga United | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moyale Barracks sit 8th in Super League (21 points from 15 matches) and Karonga United sit 13th (14 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Moyale Barracks | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 21 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
A question about Moyale Barracks vs Karonga United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moyale Barracks vs Karonga United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Moyale Barracks the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Karonga United.
- Where and when is Moyale Barracks vs Karonga United played?
- Moyale Barracks vs Karonga United is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Mzuzu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.