Match

Mahasarakham United vs Satun: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham

Mahasarakham UnitedSatun

The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Satun. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mahasarakham United vs Satun?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Mahasarakham United (1,460) and Satun (1,421).

Mahasarakham United win49 %
Draw26 %
Satun win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mahasarakham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Satun have 3, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mahasarakham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Khon Kaen United(home)2-2Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Rasi Salai United(away)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Trat FC(away)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 18, 2026BG Pathum United(away)0-3League Cup
Satun
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Dec 28, 2025Lamphun Warrior(home)0-2League Cup
Sep 1, 2024Muang Trang United(home)1-1League Cup
Mar 13, 2024Muangthong United(home)1-3League Cup
Dec 6, 2023Nakhon Pathom(home)2-0League Cup
Oct 25, 2023Kanchanaburi(home)2-1League Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mahasarakham United1.21.164/158/15
Satun1.71.223/63/6

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Mahasarakham United3412913474245

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mahasarakham United vs Satun?
The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Satun.
Where and when is Mahasarakham United vs Satun played?
Mahasarakham United vs Satun is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mahasarakham United and Satun

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