Match

Mahasarakham United vs Satun: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham

Mahasarakham UnitedSatun

The Footlab AI model makes Satun the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Mahasarakham United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Satun wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mahasarakham United vs Satun?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Mahasarakham United (1,400) and Satun (1,431).

33%27%40%
Mahasarakham United winDrawSatun win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mahasarakham United vs Satun

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mahasarakham United

4-3-3
  1. 18J. Palapon
  2. 14P. Chote-jirachaithon
  3. 11Phuwanet Thongkui
  1. 7Lwin Moe Aung
  2. 37K. Artserm
  3. 19K. Chanmunti
  1. 39W. Un Art
  2. 5N. Krutyai
  3. 3A. Saito
  4. 2J. Sriprach
  1. 28S. Cunningham

Satun

4-3-3
  1. 93Douglas Starnley Ferreira
  2. 44Kittiphong Khetpara
  3. 27Ajayi Opeyemi Korede
  1. 7C. Nakkaree
  2. 11E. Zaerko
  3. 77W. Nakkari
  1. 34Kittikon Khetpara
  2. 35N. Hehna
  3. 39W. Donmngkan
  4. 16C. Yara
  1. 38W. Panboot

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:25 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mahasarakham United have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Satun have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mahasarakham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026Chanthaburi(home)1-0Thai League 2
Oct 24, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)0-3Thai League 2
Oct 20, 2026Huasamrong Gateway(away)2-1FA Cup
Oct 18, 2026Muangthong United(home)0-0Thai League 2
Oct 14, 2026Kasetsart FC(away)1-3Thai League 2
Satun
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-0Thai League 2
Oct 24, 2026Kasetsart FC(away)3-1Thai League 2
Oct 18, 2026Chanthaburi(home)0-0Thai League 2
Oct 15, 2026Uttaradit(away)1-1Thai League 2
Oct 11, 2026Khon Kaen United(home)1-0Thai League 2

How many goals should we expect?

Mahasarakham United score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mahasarakham United0.71.927/158/15
Satun1.71.268/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mahasarakham United sit 17th in Thai League 2 (7 points from 9 matches) and Satun sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Satun9432161115
17Mahasarakham United91447157

A question about Mahasarakham United vs Satun?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mahasarakham United vs Satun?
The Footlab AI model makes Satun the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Mahasarakham United.
Where and when is Mahasarakham United vs Satun played?
Mahasarakham United vs Satun is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mahasarakham United and Satun

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