Police Tero vs Chanthaburi: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok
The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Chanthaburi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police Tero vs Chanthaburi?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Police Tero (1,474) and Chanthaburi (1,432).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police Tero have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Chanthaburi have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Phrae United(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Nakhon Si Thammarat(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Sisaket United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Police Tero win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Chanthaburi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi 1-1 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Police Tero 1-0 Chanthaburi | Thai League 2 |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Chanthaburi 1-2 Police Tero | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Police Tero 1-1 Chanthaburi | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chanthaburi vs Police Tero on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chanthaburi score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police Tero | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Chanthaburi | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police Tero sit 5th in Thai League 2 (53 points from 34 matches) and Chanthaburi sit 14th (40 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 53 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 46 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police Tero vs Chanthaburi?
- The Footlab model makes Police Tero the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Chanthaburi.
- Where and when is Police Tero vs Chanthaburi played?
- Police Tero vs Chanthaburi is played on November 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Boonyachinda Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Mahasarakham UnitedvsSatun
- Nov 21, 2026Chiangmai UnitedvsNakhon Pathom
- Nov 21, 2026ChainatvsMuangthong United
- Nov 21, 2026Esan PattayavsKasetsart FC
- Nov 22, 2026SongkhlavsKanchanaburi
- Nov 22, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsKhon Kaen United
- Nov 22, 2026Muang Loei UnitedvsUttaradit
- Nov 22, 2026Phrae UnitedvsNong Bua Pitchaya