Match

Mahasarakham United vs Chiangmai United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 28Kick-off on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, Maha Sarakham

Mahasarakham UnitedChiangmai United

The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Chiangmai United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mahasarakham United vs Chiangmai United?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Mahasarakham United (1,460) and Chiangmai United (1,430).

Mahasarakham United win48 %
Draw24 %
Chiangmai United win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mahasarakham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chiangmai United have 6, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mahasarakham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Khon Kaen United(home)2-2Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Rasi Salai United(away)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Trat FC(away)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 18, 2026BG Pathum United(away)0-3League Cup
Chiangmai United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Kasetsart FC(away)4-3Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)3-0Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Rasi Salai United(home)1-2Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)1-2Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Trat FC(home)0-1Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Mahasarakham United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chiangmai United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 11, 2026Chiangmai United 2-0 Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2
Aug 23, 2025Mahasarakham United 2-1 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2
Jan 11, 2025Chiangmai United 0-1 Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2
Aug 25, 2024Mahasarakham United 3-1 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Chiangmai United vs Mahasarakham United on Jan 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mahasarakham United1.21.164/158/15
Chiangmai United1.82.1210/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mahasarakham United sit 8th in Thai League 2 (45 points from 34 matches) and Chiangmai United sit 10th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Mahasarakham United3412913474245
10Chiangmai United3414119555843

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mahasarakham United vs Chiangmai United?
The Footlab model makes Mahasarakham United the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Chiangmai United.
Where and when is Mahasarakham United vs Chiangmai United played?
Mahasarakham United vs Chiangmai United is played on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Maha Sarakham Provincial Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mahasarakham United and Chiangmai United

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