Match

Muang Loei United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 28Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Loei Rjabhat University Stadium, Loei

Muang Loei UnitedNong Bua Pitchaya

The Footlab model makes Muang Loei United the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Muang Loei United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Muang Loei United (1,466) and Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511).

Muang Loei United win44 %
Draw26 %
Nong Bua Pitchaya win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muang Loei United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Muang Loei United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 29, 2025Sukhothai FC(away)0-4FA Cup
Nov 20, 2024Romklao United(away)2-0FA Cup
Sep 11, 2024Police Tero(home)1-1FA Cup
Sep 7, 2024Roi Et(away)0-1League Cup
Oct 4, 2023Nakhon Si City(away)0-0FA Cup
Nong Bua Pitchaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 16, 2026Pattani(home)2-1Thai League 2
May 9, 2026Police Tero(home)3-1Thai League 2
May 3, 2026Police Tero(away)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Rasi Salai United(home)3-3Thai League 2

How many goals should we expect?

Muang Loei United score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Muang Loei United1.41.357/157/15
Nong Bua Pitchaya2.12.1014/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Nong Bua Pitchaya3416612595954

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Muang Loei United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
The Footlab model makes Muang Loei United the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Where and when is Muang Loei United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?
Muang Loei United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on March 9, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Loei Rjabhat University Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Muang Loei United and Nong Bua Pitchaya

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