Match

Chainat vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 28Kick-off on March 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Khao Plong Stadium, Chainat

ChainatNakhon Pathom

The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chainat vs Nakhon Pathom?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Chainat (1,425) and Nakhon Pathom (1,463).

Chainat win41 %
Draw27 %
Nakhon Pathom win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chainat have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chainat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 2, 2026Pattani(home)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Trat FC(away)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Police Tero(home)2-1Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Phrae United(away)2-0Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Bangkok(home)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Mahasarakham United(away)2-0Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)3-1Thai League 2
Mar 13, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)0-1Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chainat win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Nakhon Pathom win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026Chainat 1-1 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Aug 27, 2025Nakhon Pathom 0-1 ChainatThai League 2
Mar 19, 2023Chainat 0-0 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Nov 13, 2022Nakhon Pathom 2-1 ChainatThai League 2
Mar 25, 2022Chainat 3-0 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Nov 13, 2021Nakhon Pathom 0-1 ChainatThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Nakhon Pathom on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chainat1.31.8112/159/15
Nakhon Pathom1.11.164/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chainat sit 6th in Thai League 2 (46 points from 34 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 15th (39 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Chainat34121012504646
15Nakhon Pathom3410915293739

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chainat vs Nakhon Pathom?
The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Nakhon Pathom.
Where and when is Chainat vs Nakhon Pathom played?
Chainat vs Nakhon Pathom is played on March 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chainat and Nakhon Pathom

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