Chainat vs Nakhon Pathom: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 28Kick-off on March 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Khao Plong Stadium, Chainat
The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chainat vs Nakhon Pathom?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Chainat (1,425) and Nakhon Pathom (1,463).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chainat have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Nakhon Pathom have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bangkok(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chainat win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Nakhon Pathom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Chainat 1-1 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Chainat 0-0 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Nakhon Pathom 2-1 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 25, 2022 | Chainat 3-0 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Nakhon Pathom on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chainat | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chainat sit 6th in Thai League 2 (46 points from 34 matches) and Nakhon Pathom sit 15th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chainat | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 46 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chainat vs Nakhon Pathom?
- The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Nakhon Pathom.
- Where and when is Chainat vs Nakhon Pathom played?
- Chainat vs Nakhon Pathom is played on March 10, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 9, 2027Muang Loei UnitedvsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Mar 9, 2027Police TerovsSatun
- Mar 10, 2027Phrae UnitedvsKasetsart FC
- Mar 10, 2027Mahasarakham UnitedvsChiangmai United
- Mar 10, 2027Esan PattayavsChanthaburi
- Mar 10, 2027SongkhlavsUttaradit
- Mar 11, 2027Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsMuangthong United
- Mar 11, 2027KanchanaburivsKhon Kaen United