Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Muangthong United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 28Kick-off on March 11, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)His Majesty the King's 80th Birthday Anniversary 5th December 2007 Stadium, Nakhon Ratchasima
The Footlab model makes Nakhon Ratchasima FC the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Muangthong United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Muangthong United?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Nakhon Ratchasima FC (1,547) and Muangthong United (1,616).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Muangthong United have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | BG Pathum United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Muangthong United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Muangthong United 2-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1-1 Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Muangthong United 2-0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2-1 Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Muangthong United 3-0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1-1 Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Muangthong United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Muangthong United | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Muangthong United?
- The Footlab model makes Nakhon Ratchasima FC the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Muangthong United.
- Where and when is Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Muangthong United played?
- Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Muangthong United is played on March 11, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at His Majesty the King's 80th Birthday Anniversary 5th December 2007 Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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