Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 27Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom
The Footlab AI model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Nakhon Pathom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chiangmai United wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,751 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,435) and Chiangmai United (1,426).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nakhon Pathom
4-3-3- 11Valdo
- 22P. Viriyachanchai
- 21N. Prachobklang
- 66S. Chaolaokhwan
- 6J. Phupha
- 55C. Otton
- 47A. Sangtong
- 44Amirhossein Nemati
- 5V. Filipović
- 33A. Sangram
- 76K. Pitaksalee
Chiangmai United
4-3-3- 96Carlos Neto
- 9E. Hooi
- 91A. Suew
- 7C. Kanuengkid
- 19T. Thanasasipat
- 31N. Sriyankem
- 25R. Shinzato
- 21S. Moonkeaw
- 15K. Buathong
- 65B. Lemdee
- 35P. Eammak
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 06:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Chiangmai United have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Satun(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Uttaradit(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Uthai Thani(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Uttaradit(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Songkhla(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nakhon Pathom wins, 1 draw, 3 Chiangmai United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom 2-5 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Chiangmai United 0-1 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Chiangmai United 2-0 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 31, 2021 | Nakhon Pathom 3-2 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Chiangmai United 1-0 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Pathom score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chiangmai United score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Chiangmai United | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nakhon Pathom sit 10th in Thai League 2 (11 points from 9 matches) and Chiangmai United sit 9th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chiangmai United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Nakhon Pathom | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Nakhon Pathom.
- Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United played?
- Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangmai United is played on March 7, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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