Where and when is Dover vs Maidenhead played?

Dover vs Maidenhead is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Dover vs Maidenhead: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent

Dover

Maidenhead

The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dover vs Maidenhead?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Dover (1,722) and Maidenhead (1,811).

Dover win30 %

Draw27 %

Maidenhead win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Maidenhead have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dover
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Slough Town(home)	5-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Billericay Town(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Carshalton Athletic(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Maidenhead
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Farnborough(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(away)	1-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Dorking Wanderers(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Truro City(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Brackley Town(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dover win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Maidenhead win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Maidenhead 1-0 Dover	National League - South
Aug 30, 2025	Dover 1-2 Maidenhead	National League - South
Apr 9, 2022	Dover 0-1 Maidenhead	National League
Aug 28, 2021	Maidenhead 2-0 Dover	National League
Nov 26, 2019	Dover 3-4 Maidenhead	National League
Sep 24, 2019	Maidenhead 1-2 Dover	National League

Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Dover on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Dover	1.2	1.8	2	7/15	8/15
Maidenhead	0.9	1.2	4	7/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dover sit 10th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Maidenhead sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Dover	4	2	0	2	8	8	6
14	Maidenhead	4	1	2	1	2	3	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dover vs Maidenhead?: The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Dover.
Where and when is Dover vs Maidenhead played?: Dover vs Maidenhead is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.