Dover vs Walton & Hersham: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 44Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab model makes Walton & Hersham the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs Walton & Hersham?
Walton & Hersham starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,875 vs 1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Walton & Hersham have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-5 | National League - South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Walton & Hersham score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Walton & Hersham | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dover sit 10th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Walton & Hersham sit 24th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dover | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs Walton & Hersham?
- The Footlab model makes Walton & Hersham the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Dover.
- Where and when is Dover vs Walton & Hersham played?
- Dover vs Walton & Hersham is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 10, 2027TorquayvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Apr 10, 2027BraintreevsSalisbury
- Apr 10, 2027MaidenheadvsMaidstone Utd
- Apr 10, 2027Billericay TownvsTruro City
- Apr 10, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsDorking Wanderers
- Apr 10, 2027Weston-super-MarevsEbbsfleet United
- Apr 10, 2027Chesham UnitedvsTonbridge Angels