Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Maidstone Utd played?

Tonbridge Angels vs Maidstone Utd is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tonbridge Angels vs Maidstone Utd: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 8Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Longmead Stadium, Tonbridge, Kent

Tonbridge Angels

Maidstone Utd

The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Tonbridge Angels. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Maidstone Utd?

Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,775).

Tonbridge Angels win24 %

Draw24 %

Maidstone Utd win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tonbridge Angels have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tonbridge Angels
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Truro City(home)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Dover(away)	1-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Torquay(home)	1-2	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Braintree(away)	4-0	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs

Maidstone Utd
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Dorking Wanderers(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Folkestone Invicta(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Walton & Hersham(away)	3-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Farnborough(home)	1-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Chatham Town(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tonbridge Angels win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Maidstone Utd win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2026	Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Maidstone Utd	National League - South
Nov 1, 2025	Maidstone Utd 1-2 Tonbridge Angels	National League - South
Apr 21, 2025	Maidstone Utd 1-1 Tonbridge Angels	National League - South
Dec 26, 2024	Tonbridge Angels 1-3 Maidstone Utd	National League - South
Jan 1, 2024	Maidstone Utd 2-0 Tonbridge Angels	National League - South
Dec 26, 2023	Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Maidstone Utd	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Maidstone Utd on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tonbridge Angels	1.7	1.2	4	8/15	8/15
Maidstone Utd	2.4	1.2	6	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tonbridge Angels sit 9th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Maidstone Utd sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Maidstone Utd	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
9	Tonbridge Angels	4	2	0	2	6	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tonbridge Angels vs Maidstone Utd?: The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Tonbridge Angels.
Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Maidstone Utd played?: Tonbridge Angels vs Maidstone Utd is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.