Mainz 05 W vs RB Leipzig W: prediction and stats
Frauen BundesligaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Bruchweg, Mainz
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig W the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Mainz 05 W. The most likely score is 1-1. If RB Leipzig W wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,949 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mainz 05 W vs RB Leipzig W?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Mainz 05 W (1,824) and RB Leipzig W (1,895).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mainz 05 W vs RB Leipzig W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mainz 05 W
Not enough data to predict the Mainz 05 W lineup.
RB Leipzig W
4-3-3- 17D. Boboy
- 27T. Simonsson
- 20E. Pfister
- 8Emilía Kiær Ásgeirsdóttir
- 18S. Pusztai
- 24N. Dudek
- 22A. Tuin
- 4Z. Mertens
- 3A. Norheim
- 25L. Veefkind
- 1E. Herzog
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 12:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mainz 05 W have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; RB Leipzig W have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg W(home) | 0-5 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | RB Leipzig W(away) | 0-5 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ingolstadt W(away) | 6-1 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt W(home) | 2-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | SC Freiburg W(away) | 0-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | SC Freiburg W(away) | 3-0 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mainz 05 W(home) | 5-0 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Blau-Gelb Marburg W(away) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Union Berlin W(away) | 2-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nürnberg W(home) | 2-1 | Frauen Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Mainz 05 W wins, 0 draws, 1 RB Leipzig W win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | RB Leipzig W 5-0 Mainz 05 W | Frauen Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig W vs Mainz 05 W on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mainz 05 W score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig W score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz 05 W | 2.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 14/15 |
| RB Leipzig W | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mainz 05 W sit 14th in Frauen Bundesliga (0 points from 7 matches) and RB Leipzig W sit 6th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | RB Leipzig W | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 0 |
A question about Mainz 05 W vs RB Leipzig W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mainz 05 W vs RB Leipzig W?
- The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig W the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Mainz 05 W.
- Where and when is Mainz 05 W vs RB Leipzig W played?
- Mainz 05 W vs RB Leipzig W is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Bruchweg, in the Frauen Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.