Malacateco vs Suchitepéquez: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Santa Lucía, Malacatán
The Footlab model makes Malacateco the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Suchitepéquez. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malacateco vs Suchitepéquez?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Malacateco (1,595) and Suchitepéquez (1,558).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malacateco have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Suchitepéquez have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 2-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Guastatoya(away) | 0-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 2-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marquense(home) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(away) | 0-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mixco(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Malacateco win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Suchitepéquez win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2018 | Suchitepéquez 3-1 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 4, 2018 | Malacateco 1-0 Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Suchitepéquez 3-1 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 30, 2017 | Malacateco 3-0 Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 19, 2017 | Suchitepéquez 2-1 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Jan 22, 2017 | Malacateco 1-0 Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Suchitepéquez vs Malacateco on Apr 4, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Malacateco score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Suchitepéquez score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malacateco | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Suchitepéquez | 1.2 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 25 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malacateco vs Suchitepéquez?
- The Footlab model makes Malacateco the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Suchitepéquez.
- Where and when is Malacateco vs Suchitepéquez played?
- Malacateco vs Suchitepéquez is played on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Santa Lucía, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.